6-12 months
PrincipleBrand Strategy
Share of Search moves 6 to 12 months before market share does
Share of Search works as a leading indicator rather than a report card. The study cites Les Binet's finding that Share of Search correlates strongly with market share, and that changes in Share of Search often precede shifts in market share by 6 to 12 months.
Source
Return on Awareness: how brand awareness drives share of search and why it pays to invest early - Google and Tracksuit (2026)
Google and Tracksuit; Tracksuit brand health data joined with Google indexed Share of Search
p3 and p8, Return on Awareness, citing Les Binet's work on Share of Search
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StatAt low awareness, brand growth converts into search demand roughly one for onePrincipleThe cheaper half of the awareness curve is the half you are on before anyone knows youWarningOn this chart the steeper line is the worse outcome, not the better oneStatThe finding rests on 31 brands in two markets over a single yearPrincipleSearching for a brand by name is a demand signal, not an exposure metricWarningBudget meetings select for measurable metrics, not for meaningful onesPrincipleEarly awareness investment delivers the highest return, so challengers gain mostPrincipleWhen Share of Search stops tracking awareness, that is the signal to move money down the funnelPrincipleA famous brand grows at the fringes - new entrants, lapsed users, light buyersPrincipleAwareness, Share of Search and sales together tell you which part of the funnel brokeStatGoogle's planning benchmarks are 40% weekly on-target reach and 2.7x weekly frequencyPrincipleTraditional search was chosen because AI discovery has no measurement history yet